A 25 BASIS POINT CUT IS NOT A SOLUTION — SOUTH AFRICA NEEDS AN ECONOMIC RUPTURE, NOT CONSERVATIVE

The South African Federation of Trade Unions (SAFTU) notes the decision of the

Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to reduce the repo rate by 25 basis points to

6.75%, the first move following the adoption of the new 3% inflation point target

±1% band.

SAFTU is not surprised by the timidity of the cut, but we are deeply alarmed by the

narrow, conservative thinking that continues to dominate macroeconomic policy in

our country. South Africa is in a total crisis: mass unemployment, collapsing

infrastructure, a humanitarian disaster in healthcare, unprecedented hunger, and an

economy is stuck in permanent stagnation. The MPC itself admits that growth is “better

but not yet healthy”, a spectacular understatement for a country with:

  • Expanded unemployment: 41.3% (Stats SA Q3 2025)
  • Youth unemployment: 58.1%
  • Poverty affects over 62% of the population
  • One of the highest inequality levels in the world
  • Austerity-driven collapse of services, from electricity to water to hospitals

A 25 bps cut, under these conditions, is the equivalent of throwing a cup of water at

a burning house.

1. The 3% Inflation Target: A Gift to the Financial Sector, A Disaster for

Workers

The MPC congratulates itself for “progress” towards anchoring inflation at 3%, but refuses to acknowledge the consequences:

  • Lower inflation in a depressed economy comes from weak demand, not good

        policy.

  • A 3% target in a country with mass joblessness is not neutral; it is a class

      project.

This target locks South Africa into a permanent regime of:

  1. higher real interest rates
  2. lower wages
  3. suppressed public spending
  4. slower job creation

This is precisely why even the MPC admits it cannot hit the target without “output

volatility”, which is economic language for job losses, wage suppression, and

stagnation. The real effect of the 3% target is to transfer power from elected institutions to financial markets and credit ratings agencies. It is a policy that prioritises the comfort

of investors over the survival of workers.

2. A Missed Opportunity in the Face of National Crisis

This was the moment for the MPC to help unblock economic recovery.

Instead of a bold cut that could shift credit costs, stimulate investment, and ease the

devastating financial burden on households, the Bank delivered a symbolic

gesture.

The MPC celebrates a “strong rand” and “lower oil prices” but refuses to translate

these into meaningful relief for:

 Households drowning in debt,

 Small businesses suffocated by interest charges,

 Workers who cannot afford transport or basic goods.

There is no reason South Africa should not be aggressively cutting rates in the

context of:

  • falling inflation,
  • stagnating investment,
  • declining real incomes,
  • and a humanitarian crisis in working-class communities.

Countries with broader central bank mandates (beyond inflation):

Unlike the SARB, many central banks around the world, including those of the

United States, Australia, Canada, Brazil, India, China, Japan, South Korea, and

Indonesia has explicit mandates to support employment, economic growth, and

development, not just inflation.

 United States – Federal Reserve (employment + growth + stable prices)

 Australia – Reserve Bank of Australia (full employment + welfare + price

stability)

 Canada – Bank of Canada (growth + employment + inflation)

 Brazil – Central Bank of Brazil (employment + financial stability + inflation)

 India – Reserve Bank of India (growth + development + inflation + credit to

priority sectors)

 China – People’s Bank of China (growth + employment + development +

stability)

 Japan – Bank of Japan (economic stability + support for government

economic policy + inflation)

 South Korea- Bank of Korea (price stability + economic growth + financial

stability)

 Indonesia, – Bank Indonesia (price stability + growth + financial inclusion)

3. Even the IMF Warns That South Africa Is Bleeding Under Austerity

The IMF Article IV Report, hardly a socialist institution, confirms what SAFTU

has been warning for years:

IMF Findings:

 South Africa’s economy is stuck in structural stagnation.

 Public services are collapsing under austerity.

 Inequality is among the worst globally and is a direct drag on growth.

 The fiscal cuts have starved infrastructure of maintenance, deepening

electricity, water, and transport failures.

 Unemployment at over 40% is not cyclical; it is structural and political.

 Without major public investment, South Africa will not break out of stagnation.

When even the IMF raises the alarm about unemployment, inequality, and

underinvestment, it exposes the cruelty of the Treasury and the Reserve Bank’s narrow

inflation-obsessed framework.

4. The MPC Ignores the Real Drivers of Inflation

The Bank admits that recent inflation rises came from:

 Fuel

 Meat

 Vegetables

 Administered prices

None of these responds to interest rate increases.

You cannot bring down the price of cabbage or petrol by pushing millions into deeper

debt. Yet the MPC remains committed to treating inflation like a mechanical disease rather than a political economy problem rooted in price gouging, monopolies, corporate concentration, and import dependence.

5. SAFTU’s Position: We Need a New Macro Framework Rooted in Jobs and

Social Reconstruction, South Africa requires a total macroeconomic shift, not a technocratic tinkering with the repo rate.

SAFTU demands:

A. Replace inflation targeting with an Employment and Development Mandate

Like the US Federal Reserve and many Asian central banks, SARB must be legally

mandated to prioritise:

 Full employment

 Industrial development

 Financial stability

 And social equity

B. A large-scale public investment plan

Funded by:

 Reversing corporate tax cuts

 Wealth taxes

 Tackling illicit financial flows

 Using GEPF/PIC investment for public infrastructure

 Ending austerity

C. A programme to rebuild public services

Healthcare, water, electricity, sanitation, public transport, and the systems that

determine whether people live or die.

D. Structural transformation of the economy

To break dependence on raw commodity exports and build manufacturing capacity.

6.  A Small Cut Cannot Save a Broken Economic Model

SAFTU is clear:

South Africa is collapsing not because households are spending too much, but

because workers have been robbed of spending power, jobs, and dignity for

over a decade. The 25 bps cut is an acknowledgement that the era of high rates is unsustainable, but it is not a real shift.

The crisis demands:

 bold, developmental macroeconomic policy;

 public-led investment;

 a living wage economy;

 and a complete break with austerity.

Workers do not need symbolic gestures.

Workers need jobs, incomes, public services, and an economy that works for

the majority.

SAFTU will continue to fight for a macroeconomic regime that places people

A statement was issued on behalf of the SAFTU General Secretary Zwelinzima Vavi. 

For media inquiries, contact the National Spokesperson at:

Newton Masuku 

Newtonm@saftu.org.za

0785164094

Media Officer 

Asive Dyani

0719019564

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